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1
Quarterly Tactical Strategy Vanguard
2
Adjusted with Market Map Tactical Model Overlay
3
4
When Map Model Components = cash ("change" in red ) then :
Returns on Map model
Market Map Model
5
1) replace Equity position with Cash
Adjustments / Changes /
SP500 returns incl. Div
6
original positionETF Equiv
2) or if Bond position signaled then hold
Deletions
BOND allocations = 75%
7
8
Selection return breakdown
9
10
OK = Position stands
Stock REIT
Stock SP500
Stock Bond
Bond
GNMA
Small Stock
11
Change = adjustment Map model instruction
1.00emerg
emerg
12
1.000
SP 500
12/31/192360.9%1.612.8%24.5%21.0%4.95%4.8%3.4%8.7%
13
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX12/31/19962.8%1.028cash1/19/19262.0%1.649.3%4.0%1.5%7.28%8.6%-0.8%-2.2%
14
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX3/31/19979.3%1.124
SP 500
10/1/19263.0%1.69-1.0%10.3%28.1%0.00%19.1%4.0%7.6%
15
TLTchangeBondVUSTX07/11/19974.95%1.180cash1/18/19272.0%1.72-5.9%4.9%19.1%3.1%3.8%1.1%25.1%
16
changeCashshy10/2/19970.50%1.18618.6%
SP 500
12/31/192816.6%2.013.6%39.0%5.6%
17
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX12/31/1997-1.0%1.174cash7/5/19294.0%2.0917.7%34.2%2.6%
18
changeCashshy01/16/19980.50%1.180
50% SP 500
4/18/1932318.1%8.7415.2%7.5%11.9%
19
changeCashshy3/31/19980.50%1.186
50% SP 500
6/13/193214.7%7.6%
20
changeBondVUSTX7/2/19987.28%1.2721997-06-30 "VGTSX"-2.2%cash1/22/19373.0%9.006.2%4.1%
21
SPYchangeStock SP500VFINX9/30/199824.5%1.58333.6%1997-09-30 "NAESX"-0.3%
50% SP 500
4/4/193818.1%112.4%
22
OKStock SP500VFINX12/31/19984.0%1.6461998-03-31 "VFINX"4.0%
50% SP 500
6/30/1938-4.6%
23
changeStock EmergVEIEX3/31/199921.0%1.9921998-06-30 "VFINX"-13.8%cash2/3/19392.0%115.0%
24
changeBondVUSTX07/09/19990.00%1.9921998-06-30 "VFINX"-13.8%
SP 500
12/29/1939-0.2%1124.7%
25
changeGNMAGNMA9/30/19993.4%2.06130.1%1998-09-30 "VFICX"1.4%cash1/19/19402.0%11
26
okStock EmergVEIEX12/31/19991.5%2.090
50% SP 500
2/10/1941150.3%28
27
changeCashshy01/20/20000.50%2.101
50% SP 500
4/28/1941
28
OKBND emergPREMX3/31/20004.8%2.2011999-06-30 "VEIEX"-6.1%
BOND
7/8/1946-4.6%26
29
OKBND emergPREMX6/30/20008.6%2.391
SP 500
10/1/19461.7%27
30
changeCashshy9/30/20000.50%2.40316.6%1999-12-31 "VEIEX"-4.5%cash12/31/19460.5%27
31
changeCashshy12/13/20000.50%2.415
50% SP 500
4/25/1947157.7%69
32
OKBondBond3/30/20013.1%2.491
50% SP 500
5/26/1947
33
changeBondVUSTX07/06/20015.6%2.6312000-09-29 "VGSIX"9.3%cash1/30/19532.0%71
34
OKBondVUSTX9/29/20012.6%2.69912.9%2000-12-29 "VGSIX"2.0%
SP 500
12/31/195391.1%135
35
changeCashshy12/31/20010.5%2.712cash1/20/19561.0%137
36
changeCashshy3/28/20020.5%2.7262001-06-29 "VGSIX"-0.2%
SP 500
12/31/1956-4.0%131
37
changeBONDVUSTX7/5/200211.9%3.051cash2/1/19571.5%133
38
changeStock SP500VFINX9/30/200210.3%3.36527.9%2001-12-31 "VEIEX"-30.8%
SP 500
5/1/195835.2%180
39
OKBND emergPREMX12/31/200219.1%4.0062002-03-28 "VGSIX"5.4%cash1/22/19601.0%182
40
OK
Stock Small cap
NAESX6/30/20038.7%4.3552002-06-28 "VGSIX"-4.4%
BOND
7/5/19602.0%185
41
OKStock EmergVEIEX9/30/200328.1%5.57965.8%2002-09-30 "VFICX"-15.2%cash10/1/19600.5%186
42
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX3/31/2004-5.9%5.248
SP 500
12/31/196029.3%241
43
OK
Stock Small cap
NAESX6/30/2004-2.2%5.13201/20/15 "VGSIX"4.70%cash1/19/19621.0%243
44
OKStock EmergVEIEX9/30/200420.5%6.18210.8%3/31/2015 "VGSIX" -8.90%
SP 500
9/28/196254.1%375
45
OKBondVUSTX3/31/20057.6%6.6496/30/15 NAESX ?cash1/22/19651.0%379
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VNQOKStock REITVGSIX6/30/20053.6%6.888
SP 500
12/31/19651.5%385
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OKStock EmergVEIEX9/30/200519.1%8.20332.7%cash1/21/19661.0%388
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VNQOKStock REITVGSIX3/31/200617.7%9.65217.7%
SP 500
9/30/196612.4%436
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OKStock EmergVEIEX12/29/200639.0%13.411-73.4%cumcash12/30/19660.0%436
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OKBondVUSTX12/31/20074.1%13.956
SP 500
2/3/19677.2%468
51
OKBond GNMAVFIIX3/31/2008-0.8%13.851cash2/2/19681.0%472
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OKBondVUSTX6/30/20082.4%14.189
SP 500
12/31/1968-1.7%464
53
OKBond GNMAVFIIX9/30/20084.0%14.7555.7%cash1/17/19691.0%469
54
OKBondVUSTX12/31/2008-4.6%14.078
SP 500
12/31/1969-1.2%463
55
OKStock EmergVEIEX3/31/200934.2%18.891cash1/16/19701.0%468
56
OKBND emergPREMX6/30/200912.7%21.292
SP 500
10/1/197018.8%556
57
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX9/30/200915.2%24.52366.2%cash1/19/19731.0%561
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qOKBondVFICX6/30/20105.0%25.754
SP 500
12/31/1973-2.0%550
59
OKStock EmergVEIEX9/30/20107.5%27.69030.0%cash1/18/19742.0%561
60
OK
Stock Small cap
NAESX12/31/20107.6%29.784
SP 500
10/1/19749.6%614
61
OKBondVUSTX6/30/201124.7%37.149cash12/31/19742.0%627
62
OKBond GNMAVFIIX9/30/20111.1%37.55835.6%
SP 500
3/1/197530.0%814
63
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX12/30/201114.7%43.079cash1/21/19772.0%831
64
OKBND emergPREMX9/28/20123.8%44.71119.0%
SP 500
12/30/1977-5.5%785
65
OK
Stock Total mkt
VGTSX12/31/20123.1%46.075cash1/20/19781.0%793
66
OK
Stock Small cap
NAESX3/28/201325.1%57.649
SP 500
9/28/197850.5%1194
67
changeCashShy1/19/20140.3%57.793cash1/16/19812.0%1217
68
OKStock SP500VFINX9/30/20144.9%60.63135.6%
SP 500
12/31/1981-5.8%1147
69
VNQOKStock REITVGSIX12/31/20146.2%64.390cash1/22/19821.0%1158
70
VNQchangeCashShy1/20/20150.20%64.519
BOND
9/3/19824.1%1206
71
VNQchangeCashShy3/31/20150.20%
SP 500
10/1/198236.2%1643
72
NAESXchangeCashShy6/30/2015cash1/20/19842.0%1676
73
SP 500
12/31/198497.6%3311
74
cash7/10/19872.0%3377
75
26.05%CAGR 1997 - 2014
50% SP 500
5/23/198829.0%4357
76
50% SP 500
7/1/1988
77
22.41%CAGR1997 - 2002cash1/19/19901.0%4401
78
SP 500
9/28/199035.5%5963
79
BOND
7/10/19922.4%6106
80
cash10/2/19920.5%6136
81
SP 500
12/31/1992137.4%14568i
82
BOND
7/11/19975.0%15289
83
cash10/2/19970.5%15366
84
Annual returns
SP 500
12/31/1997-1.0%15217
85
1000cash1/16/19981.0%15369
86
12/31/199718.6%1186
BOND
7/2/19987.3%16487
87
12/31/199833.6%1583
SP 500
10/2/199840.0%23085
88
12/31/199930.1%2061
BOND
7/9/19991.1%23345
89
12/31/200016.6%2403cash10/2/19991.1%23602
90
12/31/200112.9%2712
SP 500
12/31/1999-1.9%23152
91
12/31/200227.9%3469cash1/21/20002.5%23730
92
12/31/200365.8%5753
BOND
7/6/20002.6%24336
93
12/31/200410.8%6374cash9/28/20001.0%24579
94
12/31/200532.7%8458
BOND
7/6/20015.6%25962
95
12/31/200627.6%10792cash9/29/20011.0%26221
96
12/31/200739.0%15001
BOND
7/5/200211.9%29348
97
12/31/20085.7%15861
SP 500
10/4/200210.0%32275
98
12/31/200966.2%26359cash12/31/20020.0%32275
99
12/31/201030.0%34280
50% SP 500
2/8/200376.6%57001
100
12/31/201135.6%46495
50% SP 500
5/2/2003