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The Emmys may have been able to ignore the ratings behemoth that is “Empire,” but the Golden Globes can’t do it. The Hollywood Foreign Press’ love for new hit shows is well known, which brings us to last year’s winner, “The Affair.” The last winner to repeat with a nod won again — “Homeland,” in 2013 — but then failed to gain a nomination the following year. Others like “Mad Men” and “Boardwalk Empire” were able to stay in the race after winning, but a lot of the luster has worn off Showtime’s drama, and the HFPA may prefer more fresh faces. “Better Call Saul” and “Mr. Robot” are strong contenders here, with “Narcos” and “UnREAL” fighting for a spot, too.
As for the veterans, “House of Cards” has been nominated for both of its seasons so far, “Downton Abbey” is riding a three-year hot streak and “Game of Thrones” is fresh off an Emmys’ win. But, as always, our love for “The Leftovers” as the second year miracle nominee is all we’re hoping for on nominations’ day.
Predicted Nominees:
“Better Call Saul”
“Empire”
“Game of Thrones”
“House of Cards”
“Mr. Robot”
Spoiler: “Narcos”
Wishful Thinking: “The Leftovers”
Likely Winner: “Game of Thrones”
With stellar reviews pouring in for “Transparent” Season 2, last year’s winning series should be a lock for another strong run at the Golden Globes. It will likely be joined again by “Veep” (an Emmy winner for Outstanding Comedy Series in 2015) and “Orange is the New Black” (still considered a comedy by the HFPA, even after switching categories at the Emmys). But the final two slots are hotly contested, with Netflix series “Master of None” and “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt” getting a slight edge thanks to relevancy and awards favorites, respectably (not to mention the crazy good reviews earned by both shows).
We also can’t count out other newcomers like “The Grinder,” a well-reviewed broadcast comedy from a network the HFPA has honored in the past, “Casual,” which will get a huge push from Hulu, and “The Last Man on Earth,” a show with the added bonus of airing a season-and-a-half during the qualifying year. And then there’s “You’re the Worst,” FX Networks’ critical darling that broached the taboo topic of depression for an incredible Season 2. It’s a long shot for a nod, but we’ll be pulling for it all the way.
Predicted Nominees:
“Master of None”
“Orange is the New Black”
“Transparent”
“Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
“Veep”
Spoiler: “The Grinder”
Wishful Thinking: “You’re the Worst”
Likely Winner: “Transparent”
Last year’s TV Movie/Limited Series race may have been the most exciting of the lot. The Golden Globes matched up “Fargo” vs. “True Detective” in a one-on-one showdown many other shows avoided, due to category-jumping or eligibility rules. The same match-up could happen again, though the dismal reviews “True Detective” saw may outweigh the star power its nomination would bring to the ceremony (and there are other categories to lure the same talent). “Fargo” shouldn’t face the same problem, with its stellar reviews, cast and buzz leading the FX drama to a possible repeat. HBO will try to push “Bessie” and “Show Me a Hero” to stop it, while FX may score another nod of its own with “American Horror Story: Hotel” (though the HFPA doesn’t love Ryan Murphy’s anthology series as much as the TV Academy does). Fighting for the last spot are ABC’s “American Crime,” also sporting one heckuva cast, and “Wolf Hall” from PBS. “Luther” could sneak in there as well, but our bet is on one of the broadcast shows to pull it out.
Predicted Nominees:
“American Crime”
“American Horror Story: Hotel”
“Bessie”
“Fargo”
“Show Me a Hero”
Spoiler: “Wolf Hall”
Wishful Thinking: “Luther”
Likely Winner: “Fargo”
Predicted Nominees:
Jon Hamm, “Mad Men”
Terrence Howard, “Empire”
Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”
Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
Kevin Spacey, “House of Cards”
Spoiler: Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan”
Wishful Thinking: Justin Theroux, “The Leftovers”
Likely Winner: Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”
Much like this year’s Emmys, it seems this race is already down to two candidates: Viola Davis on “How to Get Away With Murder” (who won at the Emmys) and Taraji P. Hensen on “Empire.” Davis lost to Ruth Wilson last year — who’s again a threat to mix up the race in 2016 — making Hensen the early favorite for what remains a freshman series to the HFPA (“Empire” premiered in January). But she’ll have to beat out fellow first timers first, as Krysten Ritter (“Marvel’s Jessica Jones”), Melissa Benoist (“Supergirl”), Caitriona Balfe (“Outlander”), Shiri Appleby (“UnREAL”) and Alexa Davalos (“The Man in the High Castle”), all of whom could contend for a nod.
Predicted Nominees:
Viola Davis, “How To Get Away With Murder”
Taraji P. Hensen, “Empire”
Krysten Ritter, “Marvel’s Jessica Jones”
Ruth Wilson, “The Affair”
Robin Wright, “House of Cards”
Spoiler: Claire Danes, “Homeland”
Wishful Thinking: Shiri Appleby, “UnREAL”
Likely Winner: Tarji P. Hensen, “Empire”
A slew of new contenders will make it difficult for Louis C.K. (“Louie”), Don Cheadle (“House of Lies”) and William H. Macy (“Shameless”) to again earn nominations in this competitive field, let alone past favorites like Matt LeBlanc (“Episodes”) and Jim Parsons (“The Big Bang Theory”). In their way are Aziz Ansari (“Master of None”), Tommy Dewey (“Casaul”), Billy Eichner (“Difficult People”), Rob Lowe (“The Grinder”) and Patrick Stewart (“Blunt Talk”). While seeing Eichner at the Globes would be one heckuva treat, all five slots likely won’t go to newcomers, especially with last year’s winner, Jeffrey Tambor, still a formidable threat to win.
Predicted Nominees:
Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
Will Forte, “Last Man on Earth”
Rob Lowe, “The Grinder”
Patrick Stewart, “Blunt Talk”
Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”
Spoiler: Billy Eichner, “Difficult People”
Wishful Thinking: Chris Geere, “You’re the Worst”
Likely Winner: Aziz Ansari, “Master of None”
Predicted Nominees:
Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
Amy Poehler, “Parks and Recreation”
Gina Rodriguez, “Jane The Virgin”
Lily Tomlin, “Grace & Frankie”
Spoiler: Constance Wu, “Fresh Off the Boat”
Wishful Thinking: Aya Cash, “You’re the Worst”
Likely Winner: Ellie Kemper, “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt”
HBO, always the awards giant, should dominate this category. With impressive performances from Oscar Isaac in “Show Me a Hero,” David Oyelowo in “Nightingale” and Colin Farrell in “True Detective,” the premium cable network could nab three of five spots with ease. Patrick Wilson is also a heavy favorite for “Fargo,” and FX would love to play spoiler to HBO’s advantage. That leaves one spot for a few more names, with Mark Rylance (“Wolf Hall”), Idris Elba (“Luther”) and Timothy Hutton (“American Crime”) being the top picks.
Predicted Nominees:
Colin Farrell, “True Detective”
Oscar Isaac, “Show Me a Hero”
David Oyelowo, “Nightingale”
Mark Rylance, “Wolf Hall”
Patrick Wilson, “Fargo”
Spoiler: Timothy Hutton, “American Crime”
Wishful Thinking: Idris Elba, “Luther”
Likely Winner: Oscar Isaac, “Show Me a Hero”
Predicted Nominees:
Kirsten Dunst, “Fargo”
Lady Gaga, “American Horror Story”
Felicity Huffman, “American Crime”
Queen Latifah, “Bessie”
Rachel McAdams, “True Detective”
Spoiler: Nicole Kidman, “Grace of Monaco”
Wishful Thinking: That Lady Gaga is excluded from the race.
Likely Winner: Kirsten Dunst, “Fargo”
The supporting acting categories cover comedy, drama, miniseries and limited series, making for an extremely wide range of candidates and thus two difficult predictions. A few names should feel fairly safe, though. Ted Danson is television royalty, and his role on “Fargo” has been top tier. Jonathan Banks is well-liked within the industry and delivered a knockout episode on “Better Call Saul.” Everyone else…well, it’s going to get interesting. Peter Dinklage has the weight of HBO and “Game of Thrones” fans behind him. Tituss Burgess is the hot hand in comedy right now, earning raves for “Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt.” Damian Lewis is a familiar favorite at the HFPA, making the former “Band of Brothers” and “Homeland” nominee a healthy contender for “Wolf Hall.” Tony Hale (“Veep”) is coming off an Emmy win in the supporting category, and then there’s T.J. Miller, a fan favorite from “Silicon Valley” who is somehow hitting all the right notes with voters.
Predicted Nominees:
Jonathan Banks, “Better Call Saul”
Tituss Burgess, “Kimmy Schmidt”
Ted Danson, “Fargo”
Peter Dinklage, “Game of Thrones”
T.J. Miller, “Silicon Valley”
Spoiler: Damian Lewis, “Wolf Hall”
Wishful Thinking: Christopher Eccleston, “The Leftovers”
Likely Winner: Ted Danson, “Fargo”
Predicted Nominees:
Uzo Aduba, “Orange is the New Black”
Lena Headley, “Game of Thrones”
Allison Janney, “Mom”
Jean Smart, “Fargo”
Julie Walters, “Indian Summer”
Spoiler: Regina King, “American Crime”
Wishful Thinking: Holly Taylor, “The Americans”
Likely Winner: Lena Headley, “Game of Thrones”
Nominations for the 73rd Annual Golden Globe Awards will be announced Thursday, December 10 at 8am. The ceremony will air January 10 at 8pm on NBC.
[Editor’s Note: The above article was greatly enriched by Indiewire Contributing Editor Peter Knegt.]
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