2017 UK General election polls: how Labour drew almost level with Tories

This article is more than 6 years old

Find out what the pollsters are expecting on 8 June as Theresa May seeks to turn an opinion poll lead into an increased majority. We’re compiling daily updates from all the main polling firms and tracking the trend

Voting intention over time

The average tracks all polls over a moving 14-day period, weighting each pollster equally

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Latest analysis from Claire Phipps

Thursday 8 June

An inundation of last-minute opinion polls agree on one thing: a Tory lead on vote share. At the squeaky end of the range is Survation, pegging the Conservatives on 41.3% and Labour on 40.4%. A good hollering distance away are ICM, which predicts a 12-point Tory lead (46% to 34%), and BMG, which makes it 13 (46% v 33%).

The inbetweeners are Kantar TNS (five points), YouGov and Opinium (both seven), Panelbase (eight) and ComRes (10). All Tory leads, in case you were wondering. And all have the Lib Dems doodling on between 7% and 10%.

On Scottish Westminster voting intention, BMG for the Herald pins it at the SNP on 42%, Conservatives on 27% and Labour on 21%. Survation mixes it up a bit with the SNP on 39%, Labour leapfrogging to 29% and the Tories on 26%.

poll interactive