Squeezed by falling prices, credit woes and the volatile cost of corn, the ethanol industry has hit a rough patch lately. But Jeff Broin, the chief executive of Poet, the country’s largest ethanol producer with 26 plants across the upper Midwest, said that business was solid when I spoke with him on Wednesday.
“Poet is well-capitalized today,” he said, noting that in the past 60 days the company has opened three new plants, in Indiana and Ohio. Poet – which is privately held — is “looking for opportunities,” he added.
Mr. Broin would not specify whether that meant he might be interested in potentially buying plants belonging to VeraSun, a large ethanol producer that recently filed for bankruptcy protection. Another producer, Pacific Ethanol, saw its share price plunge this week after it announced troubling quarterly results.
Mr. Broin also underlined a key priority of the ethanol industry as a new administration takes office: a push for higher ethanol limits in cars, which currently are allowed to use fuel that contains up to 10 percent ethanol — unless they are flex-fuel vehicles, which are designed to handle any blend.
The 10 percent cap, said Mr. Broin, “is not a free market.”
The Renewable Fuels Association, an ethanol industry group, has suggested a 15 percent cap, as have others. But could the engines installed in the conventional car fleet handle the uptick?
“From an engine/vehicle performance point of view, there are no ‘show stoppers’ in going from 10 to 15 percent in a modern vehicle,” said Gregory Shaver, an assistant professor of mechanical engineering at Purdue University, in an e-mail message. He noted, however, “Ethanol is less energy-dense than gasoline, so I would expect a very modest reduction in the miles per gallon.”
Brett Smith of the Center for Automotive Research was somewhat more circumspect. “Current vehicles could be capable of running E15,” he said in an e-mail message, referring to a 15 percent ethanol-gasoline blend. “According to my sources, E20 would be pushing it, and may require ethanol-capable equipment.”
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