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    Apollo Tyres: Good long-term pick with valuation down

    Synopsis

    The underperformance in the past few months has brought down the company's valuation, making it a good pick for the long term.

    Although Apollo Tyres showed a decent topline growth in all the countries that it operates in, it reported a mixed set of numbers for the bottom line. Its consolidated net sales jumped by 47% compared with that in the same period last year.

    While the standalone entity reported a net sales growth of 57%, triggered by the higher production at its greenfield plant in Chennai and an increased demand for truck-bus radials, the net sales growth of its European operations was 43%, triggered by the demand for winter tyres ahead of the peak season. The South African operations also posted a modest net sales growth of 15%.

    While it reported a 46% net profit growth at the consolidated level, the standalone net profit for the quarter came to Rs 22 crore, down by 41% compared with Rs 37 crore it reported in the second quarter of 2011-12.

    This was due to an increase in rubber prices and an unfavourable product mix due to the increased share of direct sales to auto manufacturers (or OEM sales). This differential performance is evident even at the operational level.

    While the operating profit of its Indian entity came down by 9%, the European operations reported a growth of 84%. Its South African office also turned around and reported an operating profit of Rs 2.6 crore, against an operating loss of Rs 7.5 crore during the same period last year.

    Easing domestic margin pressure: The recent fall in natural rubber prices in India should help Apollo Tyres increase its operating margins again. The price of natural rubber (grade RSS-4) has fallen from Rs 215/kg to Rs 190/kg in the past two months.

    Although there was a proposal to remove anti-dumping duties on Chinese tyres, it has not been approved and this should help to keep the prices of domestic tyres stable.

    Structural changes: Apollo Tyres is expected to benefit immensely from the shift towards radial tyres by truck and bus operators in the domestic market.




    Though several domestic and global players have announced expansion plans in this segment, Apollo Tyres has the first-mover advantage and its high capacity should be able to meet the increasing demand.

    Moreover, its domestic performance is expected to complement the good show by its European and South African offices in a few years.

    Attractive valuation: Apollo Tyres had been grossly underperforming the broader market since it declared its first quarter results and this brought down its valuations compared to those of the other players in the industry.

    Since an international player like Apollo Tyres is available at a price to earnings multiple of 6.73, investors can consider buying it for the long term.



    Selection methodology: We pick the stock that has shown the maximum increase in consensus rating by analysts in the past month. Consensus rating is arrived at by averaging all analyst recommendations after attributing weightages to each of them (5 for strong buy, 4 for buy, 3 for hold, 2 for sell and 1 for strong sell) and any improvement in consensus rating indicates that analysts are becoming more bullish on the stock.


    To make sure that we pick only companies with a decent analyst coverage, this search will be restricted to stocks that have been covered by at least 10 analysts.



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    (What's moving Sensex and Nifty Track latest market news, stock tips and expert advice, on ETMarkets. Also, ETMarkets.com is now on Telegram. For fastest news alerts on financial markets, investment strategies and stocks alerts, subscribe to our Telegram feeds .)

    Download The Economic Times News App to get Daily Market Updates & Live Business News.

    Subscribe to The Economic Times Prime and read the Economic Times ePaper Online.and Sensex Today.

    Top Trending Stocks: SBI Share Price, Axis Bank Share Price, HDFC Bank Share Price, Infosys Share Price, Wipro Share Price, NTPC Share Price

    ...more
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