EXPERT RACING TIPS: FLEMINGTON
Best Bets
Jackson Oldham
Betting Strategy
BACK: 11. Sisterhood (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.70)
I have Sisterhood the only horse in single figures in my market. She appears incredible value, she beat Who Dares first-up at Sandown and won well at The Valley before having issues at Geelong. She has jumped out like a rocket prior to her return.
Jackson Oldham
Betting Strategy
LAY: 6. Steparty (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $6.00)
I won’t chase his price out past $6 but if he starts below that, I’ll have to lay Steparty. His trial was good but first-up in a big, deep field and he is drawn what I’m predicting to be the wrong part of the track, I couldn’t mark him favourite.
FLEMINGTON PREVIEW | SATURDAY THE 18TH MAY
RAIL: 4m TRACK: Soft 5
Expecting rails in run to be a slight disadvantage and horses out on the grandstand side to be strongly advantaged in the straight races.
3. Narbold
8. Lario
10. Sneaky Sunrise
1. Snack Bar
Betting Strategy
No Bet.
Tricky start, Narbold started $51 this track/distance last start and his run was outstanding, so it’s no surprise to see him well in the market today.
6. Euphoric
11. Mirzann
12. Moveforlex
9. Sir Kingsford
Betting Strategy
BACK: 6. Euphoric (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $4.60)
Euphoric was very well supported last start and was given no winning chance, he gets a positive jockey switch, getting back to Flemington suits, as does getting the blinkers on.
Nothing wrong with Mirzann, although I will say he was in the right spot to run well versus the tempo of the race at his Australian debut.
7. Niance
8. Wakanjeja
5. Fearless Writer
9. Moor Mumm
Betting Strategy
BACK: 7. Niance (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $2.20)
Niance produced a rating of a group horse two back at Sandown and she was very well backed at Flemington off the back of that. She played up in the yard and that translated to missing the kick and overracing. I will be waiting for the yard tick of approval for her but if I get it, I think she’s closer to an even money chance.
2. Modown
8. Flying Fizz
3. Scully
5. Dolphin Skin
Betting Strategy
BACK: 2. Modown (WIN) for 2 units (Rated at $3.40)
Modown was forced to make a long, looping run at Caulfield and he just peaked on his run late. Going back to the 1400m from the mile suits and he gets D.Lane.
BACK: 8. Flying Fizz (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $4.90)
I need to have Flying Fizz on side, who ran out of her skin first-up at Warrnambool against a savage track bias, she will need some luck again here but at $6.5 is a worthy gamble.
11. Sisterhood
18. Sioux Spirit
12. Bifrost
10. Losesomewinmore
Betting Strategy
BACK: 11. Sisterhood (WIN) for 4 units (Rated at $2.70)
I have Sisterhood the only horse in single figures in my market. She appears incredible value, she beat Who Dares first-up at Sandown and won well at The Valley before having issues at Geelong. She has jumped out like a rocket prior to her return.
4. Heed The Omens
16. Desert Anthem
5. Navy King
1. Aztec State
Betting Strategy
No Bet.
A very tricky race, where I doubt there is much between top and bottom. If I had to bet, I’d be getting off market to back a couple of roughies but I think the wise play is to keep the powder dry.
4. It’sourtime
16. Who Dares
1. Joyful Fortune
13. Waltz On My
Betting Strategy
LAY: 6. Steparty (WIN) for 3 units (Rated at $6.00)
I won’t chase his price out past $6 but if he starts below that, I’ll have to lay Steparty. His trial was good but first-up in a big, deep field and he is drawn what I’m predicting to be the wrong part of the track, I couldn’t mark him favourite.
3. Excelleration
12. The Map
6. Mostly Cloudy
9. Lionel
Betting Strategy
BACK: 3. Excelleration (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.00)
Excelleration beat The Map in my opinion, fair and square last time they met, there is a small weight swing but I don’t think there should be such a gap in the early market between the two.
11. Dashing
2. El Soleado
13. Red Sun Sensation
6. Galeron
Betting Strategy
No Bet.
Hard race, no real opinion. I’ve left Green Fly out of my top four but I’ve marked him close to favourite but I’m $8.75 the field.
1. Shesallshenanigans
12. Harry Got Styles
11. Unconquerable
7. Pondalowie
Betting Strategy
BACK: 1. Shesallshenanigans (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $4.10)
Shepsallsheniangans gets in well after the claim for Ryan Houston, I thought she was given an average steer at Caulfield, she gets the set up to run well in the right part of the track.
BACK: 12. Harry Got Styles (WIN) for 1 unit (Rated at $7.20)
I can’t wait to see Harry Got Styles on the big Flemington track, being able to build momentum. He bolted in at Cranbourne then ran well at Bendigo, that form has stacked up well.
Want to learn how to lay bet?
When you place a lay bet, you are betting on something not to happen. Let’s think about the Melbourne Cup again. Remember: there can only be one winner. But what about the others trailing behind them? If you place a lay bet in a “Win” market, you can celebrate if the runner tails off at the back of the field.
FLEMINGTON RACECOURSE
SUMMARY
As the home of ‘the race that stops a nation’, the Melbourne Cup, Flemington is Australia’s most famous racecourse. The $8 million two-mile handicap, which is held on the first Tuesday in November each year and attracts leading staying horses from around the world, is one of 14 Group 1 races held at Flemington and is the pinnacle of the four-day Melbourne Cup Carnival. For Flemington tips across the world-famous Melbourne Cup Carnival and every meeting throughout the year, the Betfair Hub has you covered.
FAST FACTS
- The biggest ever attendance at Flemington came on Victoria Derby Day in 2006, when 129,069 spectators witnessed Efficient claim the Derby.
KEY EVENTS
While the Melbourne Cup, which was first run in 1861, is Australia’s most famous race, Victoria Derby Day – held the Saturday before the Cup – traditionally attracts the biggest crowd of the carnival. As well as the Derby, a 2500m contest for three-year-olds, the raceday features three more Group 1 contests in the Coolmore Stud Stakes, Cantala Stakes and Empire Rose Stakes. Two days after the Melbourne Cup, the Group 1 VRC Oaks headlines Ladies’ Day with Stakes Day, featuring the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes, bringing the curtain down on the Melbourne Cup Carnival. Betfair brings you Flemington best bets, with our team of experts giving punters the inside track on every meeting.
TRACK PROFILE
Known for its wide expanses and ability to cope in any weather conditions, Flemington is renowned by punters as one of Australia’s fairest tracks. The racecourse is pear-shaped, with a six-furlong (1200m) straight known as the ‘straight six’. The track has a circumference of 2312m and a home straight of 450m. Whether it’s sprint or staying races, our resident team of experts do the form to deliver their Flemington tips on the Betfair Hub.
HISTORY
The Flemington Racecourse site comprises 1.27 square kilometres of crown land. The course was originally leased to the Victoria Turf Club in 1848, which merged with the Victoria Jockey Club in 1864 to form the Victoria Racing Club. The first running of the Melbourne Cup was held in 1861 and 10 years later the Victoria Racing Club Act was passed, which gave the VRC legal control of Flemington Racecourse.
